- Posted December 27, 2013 by
Riyadh, Saudi Arabia
Hadhramaut, Back to the Future?
The current situation in Hadhramaut and South Yemen in general is escalating towards the unknown, In Hadhramaut the local tribesmen formed an armed political group and merged into a Tribal Confederacy calling for independence from Sana’a, to form the modern state of Hadhramaut that stretches from Al Mukalla up North to the borders of Saudi Arabia and West to borders of former South Yemen Republic and East to Oman borders, The independence of such state could raise international and regional dissatisfaction yet on the other hand could be met with strong support from other regional states.
Personally, judging on the current situation, I believe separation from Yemen is inevitable, if so what will be the future scenario for Hadhramaut?
The Hadhrami social fabric is almost identical, there are no majour Racial, Sectarian or Political disagreements, Hadhramaut have all the components of an independent state speaking of Natural resources, Culture and as mentioned above human components, and they culturally match with GCC countries specifically Saudi Arabia, In politics, Hadhramis views are the same as mainstream Saudi Arabia if not a match.
All the factors mentioned above are indicating a stable and strong growth if future state is declared, let’s not forget the reason for calling independence is to end corruption applied by corrupt Yemeni regime officials and powerful northern tribe chiefs since 1994, that means there is a strong will to reform and grow.
I am certain that the emergence of the new state to the international community will attract huge investments by Hadhrami Billionaires and they have expressed the intention to do so, Oil and LNG will be the main revenue that will help Hadhramaut to sustain development “Currently 75% of Yemen’s GDP is from Hadhramaut”, Industries like Fisheries, Agriculture, Banking, Industry and Manufacturing will be key resources contributing to the GDP and will grow rapidly and quickly, Tourism will generate huge revenues that will create new industries like Aviation, Hadhramaut could be the seventh GCC country which will be a huge step towards economic growth and political stability, in general the economic growth is a fact and will happen but this brings more questions? Will Hadhramis abroad return home? There are more than 20 million Hadhramis in South East Asia, mainly Indonesia, India, East Africa, and GCC, what will happen when they return back? Will there be an “Aliyah”? if they do I think it will be an amazing and a unique experience, Hadhramis from all backgrounds are finally in one place, sharing experiences and developing their own country ,Will this "Melting Pot" be creating a new Middle Eastern Singapore?
Am I being too optimistic? Or an eternal struggle will paralyse the region?