- Posted August 13, 2014 by
New strong quake to hit Philippines?
Opening the Daily Postal website Thursday, the International Earthquake and Volcano Prediction Center (IEVPC) has issued a new Catastrophic Geophysical Event (CGE) Warning Notice (CWN) for a possible strong earthquake that could hit the Philippines this year.
The non-profit science research organization located in Florida said the location of the earthquake will be southeast of Samar in the Philippines along the Philippine Trench.
According to the new observation report released on July 7, 2014, various CMWS signals have been detected indicating the possibility of a large seismic event, in the magnitude of 7.5 to 8.5, with a depth of 20 to 40 kilometers.
This new report has replaced what IEVPC issued last year, stating that an 8.0 magnitude earthquake will hit the Philippines in 2014, with epicenter at the Molucca Sea.
IEVC said this initial Test Program Observation replaces the previous Molucca Sea Prediction. A review of the Oct. 13, 2013 M7.2 Bohol earthquake indicates the predicted earthquake energy has been redirected north and north east from the Celebes Sea and away from the Molucca Sea per se.
The analysis of the Bohol quake and recent signals tracked within the CMWS precursors indicates a new area requires study and has been included as the first IEVPC Test Program Observation for 2014.
IEVC is now inviting institutions and researchers to examine the area for this Observation as it continues to monitor this area in a re-examination of its CMWS process.
In an effort to improve the CMWS, the IEVPC has suspended its earthquake predictions as such, in favor of an extended Test Program of “observations” that are indicative of possible seismic activity.
The IEVPC said it will update this observation as new signals appear.