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$200 Billion Of Iran's Currency Reserves Go Missing On Ahmadinejad's Watch
See also "Newest Top 1000 List For IRI Officials' Bank Accounts":
http://ireport.cnn.com/docs/DOC-606777
(The following is aq translation of a BBC Persian broadcast. A link to the Farsi-language original can be found below.)
TWO HUNDRED BILLION DOLLARS of Iran’s Currency Reserve Funds, up in smoke!!!
BBC
Kaveh Omidvar
7 June, 2011
Although to date more than $200 billion have been injected into the Currency Reserve Funds, only a mere $15 billion is reportedly left in the account.
“Over $200 billion have been deposited into the reserve funds out of which less than 10% has so far been lent out to the private sector,” Fars News quotes Hossain Ghazavi, Economic Vice President of the Central Bank, as having said. Ghazavi adds that both the government and the Parliament have consistently been withdrawing from the account, as “they’ve had no other choice.”
All surplus oil revenues are deposited into the Reserve Funds, an account that was opened ten years ago, during Mohammad Khatami’s administration. Every year the government allocates a certain budget for its annually determined price of oil and if the year-end total sum of related revenues exceeds the initial projected numbers; then the overage called “Surplus Income” is transferred into these funds.
The formation of this account was deemed necessary following the late 1990’s oil price shock which led to a severe drop in Iran’s oil revenues. The decline in oil prices was the major shock of the first 2 years of Khatami’s administration forcing the government to build a shelter in order to safeguard against similar circumstances in the future.
The oil revenues took a huge fall during Khatami’s early years, when those revenues in the upwards of $19 billion in 1996 shrunk down to $15.5 billion by 1997. The trend continuing on pushed the ever decreasing revenues down to under $10 billion by the following year, setting the precedence for the ‘lowest’ revenues in the recent 32 years.
Such uncertainty in oil revenues that are the main driving force of Iran’s economy became the determining factor for Khatami’s first administration to create a special reserve fund for the surplus oil revenues in order to facilitate a less treacherous passage through the potential future crisis of the same nature.
One of the goals of the formation of these funds was to combat the fluctuations in oil prices, however the main goal was to provide loans for the private sector. Approximately half of the surplus income was expected to go to the private sector, when in fact only 10% was spent for that purpose, according to Mr. Ghazavi. And according to the Central Bank, about $15 billion of the Reserves have gone to the social development funds.
Iranian Government’s Insatiable Appetite
The government was allowed to spend an approximate average of $15 billion of the oil revenues per annum, based on the 4th government’s mandate. However, almost the entire reserves which reached over $100 billion during a number of years have reportedly been spent by the government.
The excessive expenditure of the oil revenues during the time of abundance has resulted in an irregular expansion in the size of the government and its budget and an overall rise in prices of goods, particularly the non-exchangeable commodities; in other words: “the Dutch disease.” says Mr. Ghazavi. This excessive spending of the oil revenues and injecting them into the society in the form of Rial, is the main reason for Iran’s rising inflation and failing economy in the recent years, the economic experts believe.
It was this fate of the Currency Reserves that triggered the plan to develop a new “National Development Fund” as proposed by the Council on the Determination of the Regime’s Welfare, in order to curb government access to the oil revenues.
The bill was later inserted into the fifth development plan with the objective of preventing the government from easily resorting to these funds for its daily expenditure. The long term plan is to deposit 20% of the annual export-oil revenues into this Fund. According to Mr. Ghazavi, in the event of another upsurge in the price of oils and oil byproducts, the surplus revenues will once again get deposited into the Currency Reserve Funds and then 50% of entire year-end balance of the funds will be transferred to the National Development Fund. Central Bank’s V.P. adds that the National Development Fund will not immediately supplant the Currency Reserve Fund and should the median price of oil pass the $85 per barrel mark, the proceeds will go to the currency funds.
The board of directors for the new Nat’l Development Fund has yet to be selected, however; according to law, the President will be the chief director and the ministries of Finance, Industry, Commerce, as well as the President’s Deputy Chief of Social Affairs will be among the directors.
The government will no longer have the same unlimited access to the Currency Reserves as it has always had. Even the non-governmental section in charge of social affairs will not be allowed a loan greater than 20% of revenues from these funds.
Portions of the Funds will be allotted to loans that could facilitate the process of large scale development plans and completion of unfinished smaller endeavors that have the potential of generating currency, says Mr. Ghazavi. Other portions will provide financial support for Commerce and the investment funds in the market, he adds.
Finally, investments in international markets are also among the objectives of the National Development Funds.
Pictured: SAC (Supreme Audit Court) bldg in Tehran
Original:
http://www.bbc.co.uk/persian/business/2011/06/110607_ka_currency_fund.shtml
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* [Translator's Note: In May 2009, SAC (Supreme Audit Court of Iran) reported that 1 billion was missing from Oil Stabilization Fund. And Iranian President Ahmadinejad said: "the issue of the 'missing' $1 billion from the country's currency reserve fund is in fact an "accounting error." ....... Mr. Ahmadinejad the joke's on you, as time will tell..]
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