- Posted November 23, 2011 by
This iReport is part of an assignment:
CNN's GOP national security debate
12th GOP Debate Has Instant Reaction With Nomination Probability
While I am still putting my thoughts together after the GOP National Security Debate in Washington D.C. Tuesday, there has already been reaction from the debate performances of the eight Republican candidates hoping to be the party's nominee in 2012 to face President Barack Obama.
Yesterday I wrote about how the candidates stacked up in probability of being the nominee according to PredictWise.com. Those percentages did shift immediately following the debate.
Here is where the eight stood yesterday morning and where they stand now:
Former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney:
Pre-debate 66.2% Post-debate 65.9% (drop of .3%)
Former Speaker of the US House of Representatives Newt Gingrich:
Pre-debate 15.2% Post-debate 15.4% (rise of .2%)
Former Utah Governor Jon Huntsman:
Pre-debate 5.3% Post-debate 5.3% (no change)
Texas Congressman Dr. Ron Paul:
Pre-debate 5.2% Post-debate 5.4% (rise of .2%)
Texas Governor Rick Perry:
Pre-debate 2.7% Post-debate 2.5% (drop of .2%)
Former Godfather's Pizza executive Herman Cain:
Pre-debate 2.4% Post-debate 1.9% (drop of .5%)
Minnesota Congresswoman Michelle Bachmann:
Pre-debate 1.1% Post-debate 1.0% (drop of .1%)
Former Pennsylvania Senator and Congressman Rick Santorum:
Pre-debate 0.7% Post-debate 0.8% (rise of .1%)
Once I have slept some and collected my thoughts, I'll be coming back with my winners and losers along with some thoughts.
What is apparent is that from my personal view as well as commentary after the debate and early news analysis, it would seem that probability percentages are in align with the general consensus.
From the Cornfield, I must say that tonight's debate at times was quite lively.
There was some real give and take along with some real separation between the candidates.
The most humorous point of the night:
Cain having another one of those "moments" called CNN host and moderator for the debate Wolf Blitzer, "Blitz" when he apparently was caught off guard by all those things still "twirling" in his head.