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Posted February 11, 2012
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Toamasina, Madagascar
Toamasina, Madagascar
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Tropical Cyclone Giovanna sets its sights on Madagascar - could prove catastrophic
Toamasina, Madagascar – As of 1500 GMT, Tropical Cyclone Giovanna was located approximately 290 miles northeast of La Reunion and is slowly tracking to the west-southwest at about 6 mph. As of this advisory, this storm is forecasted to strike Madagascar in approximately 48 hours as a destructive and deadly category 4 storm on the Saffir-Simpson wind scale. The Swinden Group is recommending that any travelers or Expats in central Madagascar evacuate the area or be prepared to be self-sufficient for at least a week or more. Preparations should be rushed to completion.
Current maximum sustained are 120 mph with higher gusts making this a category 3 storm and Giovanna should slowly intensify prior to making landfall over Madagascar with winds possibly of 160 mph or more at time of landfall on Monday February 13th. Currently hurricane force winds extend out 40 miles from the center and tropical storm force winds extend out 125 miles.
Giovanna is expected to remain tracking on a westward track and make landfall near Toamasina and continue westward across Madagascar while weakening due to land interaction. The capital city of Antananarivo, with a population of well over 1 million, should be in the storm’s path.
Giovanna will then re-emerge over the Mozambique Channel and re-intensify and track towards Mozambique next week.
Threats and damages - Giovanna will be a destructive storm
If Giovanna strikes Madagascar as a category 4 storm, this will most likely surpass the death and destruction from the 1994 Tropical Cyclone Geralda in which the storm followed a similar path. Geralda destroyed 80% of the Toamasina seaport. 40,000 houses were destroyed or damaged. Lines of communications, railways, roads and bridges were brought down by the extreme force of the storm. Giovanna could be worse.
With regards to Giovanana, expect widespread coastal flooding due to the storm surge, widespread inland flooding due to torrential rains and heavy damage to the infrastructure and will be off-line for weeks. Travel to be heavily affected for land and air, especially if the storm damages Antananarivo airport.
About The Swinden Group, LLC
The Swinden Group, LLC provides companies and organizations security, investigations, and risk management services worldwide. Severe Weather Advisories are provided to corporations and business travelers in order for them to prepare for travel or business impacting weather events.
# # #
Contact:
Matt Swinden
The Swinden Group
Phone: 1-303-406-3622
Web: www.TheSwindenGroup.com
Email: matt@theswindengroup.com
Twitter: www.twitter.com/SwindenGroup
Current maximum sustained are 120 mph with higher gusts making this a category 3 storm and Giovanna should slowly intensify prior to making landfall over Madagascar with winds possibly of 160 mph or more at time of landfall on Monday February 13th. Currently hurricane force winds extend out 40 miles from the center and tropical storm force winds extend out 125 miles.
Giovanna is expected to remain tracking on a westward track and make landfall near Toamasina and continue westward across Madagascar while weakening due to land interaction. The capital city of Antananarivo, with a population of well over 1 million, should be in the storm’s path.
Giovanna will then re-emerge over the Mozambique Channel and re-intensify and track towards Mozambique next week.
Threats and damages - Giovanna will be a destructive storm
If Giovanna strikes Madagascar as a category 4 storm, this will most likely surpass the death and destruction from the 1994 Tropical Cyclone Geralda in which the storm followed a similar path. Geralda destroyed 80% of the Toamasina seaport. 40,000 houses were destroyed or damaged. Lines of communications, railways, roads and bridges were brought down by the extreme force of the storm. Giovanna could be worse.
With regards to Giovanana, expect widespread coastal flooding due to the storm surge, widespread inland flooding due to torrential rains and heavy damage to the infrastructure and will be off-line for weeks. Travel to be heavily affected for land and air, especially if the storm damages Antananarivo airport.
About The Swinden Group, LLC
The Swinden Group, LLC provides companies and organizations security, investigations, and risk management services worldwide. Severe Weather Advisories are provided to corporations and business travelers in order for them to prepare for travel or business impacting weather events.
# # #
Contact:
Matt Swinden
The Swinden Group
Phone: 1-303-406-3622
Web: www.TheSwindenGroup.com
Email: matt@theswindengroup.com
Twitter: www.twitter.com/SwindenGroup
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