- Posted May 22, 2012 by
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Election 2012: Your stories
The Cornfield View: Today's Primaries - Arkansas & Kentucky
Just woke up and realized I forgot to put out my forecast about today's Republican primaries being conducted in both Arkansas and Kentucky.
While presumptive Republican nominee Mitt Romney is expected to win both contests, there is a question mark with Kentucky.
Kentucky is the state where Rand Paul is the junior senator. Paul is the son of Texas Congressman Ron Paul, who has not yet thrown in the towel, though not actively campaigning in the remaining primaries.
What makes Kentucky a question mark is that when Rand Paul was elected to the Senate in 2010, he did not have the support of the Bluegrass State's senior Senator Mitch McConnell, the Senate House Minority Leader. McConnell's choice in the GOP primary was a diferent candidate. McConnell did naturally get on board after the primary for Rand Paul.
But how much angst is there still between the two men? There is already rumblings from Tea Party favorite Richard Mourdock, who upended Indiana's Senator Dick Lugar back on May 8, that there may be a move to take away McConnell's leadership position after the fall election.
Will Rand Paul and his supporters from both the Kentucky Tea Party and his father's Liberty Movement make another end run and upset the status quo denying Romney a win in the state?
The main thing to watch today:
Will Kentuckians stick with their junior senator and cast ballots for his father or will they give Romney another win?
At stake today:
Arkansas: 36 delegates awarded proportionally
Kentucky: 45 delegates awarded proportionally
Romney currently has an estimated 962 delegates, not enough for the nomination. He needs 1,144 delegates to cinch the nomination.
Paul has an estimated 123 delegates, but some Paulites claim many more.
Even with today's contests Romney won't be able to claim the title until next Tuesday's Texas Primary with 155 delegates up for grabs.
From the Cornfield, that's the way today's races seem to be shaping up.