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    Posted June 6, 2012 by
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    The Cornfield Eye on the Polls - June 6th


    Between  now and the general election on November 6, there are going to be  daily, weekly and monthly polls covering almost every contest  imaginable. Some are local, some are state and some - actually most -  will be on the presidential race.

    Until  Election Day, I am going to try and give a synopsis of what the  pollsters reveal for both voters, candidates and campaigns to chomp and  chew.

    American Society:

    Most Shocking to Founding Fathers - American Manners 52%

    Least Liked Airplane Seatmate - Someone Chatty, Nosy: 33% Snorer: 31%

    How Political Parties Changed - GOP: Worse 44% Democrats: No Change 45%

    Have Your Best Interest - Inlaws: 29% Pet 27%

    Attending Own Funeral Most Interested In: What People Say 51%

    Less Distressing Authority Figure: Judge 36%

    Most Apprehensive About Reading: Retirement Fund Statement 40%


    Creationism Versus Evolution:

    Forty-six  percent of Americans believe in the creationist view that God created  humans in their present form at one time within the last 10,000 years.  The prevalence of this creationist view of the origin of humans is  essentially unchanged from 30 years ago, when Gallup first asked the  question. About a third of Americans believe that humans evolved, but  with God's guidance; 15% say humans evolved, but that God had no part in  the process.


    Political Affiliations:

    More  Americans now call themselves politically independent than at any point  in the last 75 years, according to a new poll. The survey also shows  that those who do align themselves with a party are more ideological and  have become more polarized than at any point in the last 25 years,  particularly on issues important in this year's presidential and  congressional campaigns.

    Party loyalty, however, only goes so  far; neither Republicans nor Democrats say their own party is doing a  good job standing up for its traditional positions.

    Five months  before the November elections, the Pew Research Center poll released  Monday sheds light on how the electorate feels about the nation's two  major political parties. And sour seems to be an understatement.

    The  results indicate a collective thumbs down to both the Democratic and  Republican Party, showing that an unprecedented 38 percent of adults  rejected both parties and call themselves independents. Only 32 percent  now say they are Democrats and 24 percent now call themselves  Republicans.


    Americans  of different races are no more polarized in their political views than  they were 25 years ago. Men and women are no more polarized either. The  same goes for people of different education levels, different income  groups and different levels of religiosity.

    The one big  exception, according to a poll from the Pew Research Center, is  political party. Self-described Democrats and self-described Republicans  hold beliefs that contrast much more sharply than a generation ago on a  wide range of issues, including environmental policy, the safety net  and immigration.

    “Unlike 25 years ago, party affiliation more  than anything else drives how Americans think about just about all  issues,” said Andrew Kohut, Pew’s president.


    Attitude Toward GLBT:

    A  majority of Americans say they support legally recognizing same-sex  marriage amid growing evidence that the public's become more comfortable  with gays and lesbians, according to a new national poll.

    A  CNN/ORC International survey released Wednesday also indicates that the  number of Americans who say they have a close friend or family member  who is gay has jumped from 49% in 2010 to 60% today, the first time in  CNN polling that a majority of Americans have said that. In the 1990s,  most Americans said they did not know anyone close to them who was gay.

    According  to the survey, 54% now say that marriages between gay and lesbian  couples should be recognized as valid by law, with 42% opposed.  Sentiment is strong on both sides of the debate, with more than  three-quarters of supporters and opponents of same-sex marriage saying  that they feel strongly about that issue.

    The  poll indicates a partisan divide, with seven in ten Democrats as well  as six in ten independent voters saying same-sex marriages should be  recognized by the law as valid, and 72% of Republicans opposed. The  survey also indicates a generational divide, with nearly two-thirds of  those under 50 in favor of legal same sex marriages and 55% of those 50  and older opposed.


    State Races:

    Viriginia - A new Quinnipiac poll in Virginia shows Tim Kaine (D) barely edging George Allen (R) in the U.S. Senate race, 44% to 43%.

    Said  pollster Peter Brown: "The Senate race looks like it will go down to  the wire on Election Day. With 10 percent of voters undecided, each man  has the opportunity to win the seat."


    A  poll released Wednesday showed Virginia Attorney General Ken Cuccinelli  holding a commanding lead over his rival in the state's Republican  gubernatorial primary, set to take place next year. Cuccinelli, who will  face Virginia Lt. Gov. Bill Bolling in 2013, led his rival 51%-15%, the  Quinnipiac University survey indicated. Cuccinelli's popularity among  Virginia GOP voters was also reflected in the two men's approval  ratings: 70% of Republicans approved of the job Cuccinelli is doing as  attorney general, compared to 48% who approve of Bolling. The two men's  approval ratings were more similar among all voters.


    Connecticut - A  new poll in the race to fill the Connecticut U.S. Senate seat being  vacated by independent Sen. Joe Lieberman shows the party frontrunners  increasing their leads since the last survey in March.

    Democrat  Rep. Chris Murphy has grown his lead from 12 points to 30 over Susan  Bysiewicz, the Quinnipiac University poll found, while Republican Linda  McMahon is now ahead of former Rep. Chris Shays by 29 points. She had a  nine point advantage over Shays in the previous Quinnipiac survey,  released March 22.


    Presidential Race:

    Favorability - Mitt  Romney's favorable ratings are on the rise, but a new national poll  indicates that President Barack Obama remains more popular than his  Republican challenger.

    According  to a CNN/ORC International survey released Monday, Romney's favorable  rating among Americans has jumped from 34% in February, during the heat  of the divisive GOP presidential primaries, to 48% now. Forty-two  percent say they see the presumptive Republican presidential nominee and  former Massachusetts governor in a negative light.


    Pennsylvania - A new Franklin & Marshall poll in Pennsylvania finds President Obama leading Mitt Romney by a 12-point margin, 48% to 36%.


    Wisconsin - Even  with Scott Walker's success, Barack Obama won some bragging rights in  the Wisconsin governor's recall election: Voters said they favored Obama  over Mitt Romney in November's presidential race by an 11-point margin,  with advantages for Obama both on handling the economy and aiding the  middle class.

    Wisconsin  voters by 53-42 percent said they'd support Obama over Romney if the  election were today, the ABC News exit poll found, by 44-36 percent  picked Obama to do a better job than Romney handling the economy and by  47-35 percent preferred the president on "helping the middle class."


    From the Cornfield, there you have the latest of The Cornfield Eye on the Polls.

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