- Posted June 6, 2012 by
This iReport is part of an assignment:
The Cornfield Eye on the Polls - June 6th
Between now and the general election on November 6, there are going to be daily, weekly and monthly polls covering almost every contest imaginable. Some are local, some are state and some - actually most - will be on the presidential race.
Until Election Day, I am going to try and give a synopsis of what the pollsters reveal for both voters, candidates and campaigns to chomp and chew.
Most Shocking to Founding Fathers - American Manners 52%
Least Liked Airplane Seatmate - Someone Chatty, Nosy: 33% Snorer: 31%
How Political Parties Changed - GOP: Worse 44% Democrats: No Change 45%
Have Your Best Interest - Inlaws: 29% Pet 27%
Attending Own Funeral Most Interested In: What People Say 51%
Less Distressing Authority Figure: Judge 36%
Most Apprehensive About Reading: Retirement Fund Statement 40%
Creationism Versus Evolution:
Forty-six percent of Americans believe in the creationist view that God created humans in their present form at one time within the last 10,000 years. The prevalence of this creationist view of the origin of humans is essentially unchanged from 30 years ago, when Gallup first asked the question. About a third of Americans believe that humans evolved, but with God's guidance; 15% say humans evolved, but that God had no part in the process.
More Americans now call themselves politically independent than at any point in the last 75 years, according to a new poll. The survey also shows that those who do align themselves with a party are more ideological and have become more polarized than at any point in the last 25 years, particularly on issues important in this year's presidential and congressional campaigns.
Party loyalty, however, only goes so far; neither Republicans nor Democrats say their own party is doing a good job standing up for its traditional positions.
Five months before the November elections, the Pew Research Center poll released Monday sheds light on how the electorate feels about the nation's two major political parties. And sour seems to be an understatement.
The results indicate a collective thumbs down to both the Democratic and Republican Party, showing that an unprecedented 38 percent of adults rejected both parties and call themselves independents. Only 32 percent now say they are Democrats and 24 percent now call themselves Republicans.
Americans of different races are no more polarized in their political views than they were 25 years ago. Men and women are no more polarized either. The same goes for people of different education levels, different income groups and different levels of religiosity.
The one big exception, according to a poll from the Pew Research Center, is political party. Self-described Democrats and self-described Republicans hold beliefs that contrast much more sharply than a generation ago on a wide range of issues, including environmental policy, the safety net and immigration.
“Unlike 25 years ago, party affiliation more than anything else drives how Americans think about just about all issues,” said Andrew Kohut, Pew’s president.
Attitude Toward GLBT:
A majority of Americans say they support legally recognizing same-sex marriage amid growing evidence that the public's become more comfortable with gays and lesbians, according to a new national poll.
A CNN/ORC International survey released Wednesday also indicates that the number of Americans who say they have a close friend or family member who is gay has jumped from 49% in 2010 to 60% today, the first time in CNN polling that a majority of Americans have said that. In the 1990s, most Americans said they did not know anyone close to them who was gay.
According to the survey, 54% now say that marriages between gay and lesbian couples should be recognized as valid by law, with 42% opposed. Sentiment is strong on both sides of the debate, with more than three-quarters of supporters and opponents of same-sex marriage saying that they feel strongly about that issue.
The poll indicates a partisan divide, with seven in ten Democrats as well as six in ten independent voters saying same-sex marriages should be recognized by the law as valid, and 72% of Republicans opposed. The survey also indicates a generational divide, with nearly two-thirds of those under 50 in favor of legal same sex marriages and 55% of those 50 and older opposed.
Viriginia - A new Quinnipiac poll in Virginia shows Tim Kaine (D) barely edging George Allen (R) in the U.S. Senate race, 44% to 43%.
Said pollster Peter Brown: "The Senate race looks like it will go down to the wire on Election Day. With 10 percent of voters undecided, each man has the opportunity to win the seat."
A poll released Wednesday showed Virginia Attorney General Ken Cuccinelli holding a commanding lead over his rival in the state's Republican gubernatorial primary, set to take place next year. Cuccinelli, who will face Virginia Lt. Gov. Bill Bolling in 2013, led his rival 51%-15%, the Quinnipiac University survey indicated. Cuccinelli's popularity among Virginia GOP voters was also reflected in the two men's approval ratings: 70% of Republicans approved of the job Cuccinelli is doing as attorney general, compared to 48% who approve of Bolling. The two men's approval ratings were more similar among all voters.
Connecticut - A new poll in the race to fill the Connecticut U.S. Senate seat being vacated by independent Sen. Joe Lieberman shows the party frontrunners increasing their leads since the last survey in March.
Democrat Rep. Chris Murphy has grown his lead from 12 points to 30 over Susan Bysiewicz, the Quinnipiac University poll found, while Republican Linda McMahon is now ahead of former Rep. Chris Shays by 29 points. She had a nine point advantage over Shays in the previous Quinnipiac survey, released March 22.
Favorability - Mitt Romney's favorable ratings are on the rise, but a new national poll indicates that President Barack Obama remains more popular than his Republican challenger.
According to a CNN/ORC International survey released Monday, Romney's favorable rating among Americans has jumped from 34% in February, during the heat of the divisive GOP presidential primaries, to 48% now. Forty-two percent say they see the presumptive Republican presidential nominee and former Massachusetts governor in a negative light.
Pennsylvania - A new Franklin & Marshall poll in Pennsylvania finds President Obama leading Mitt Romney by a 12-point margin, 48% to 36%.
Wisconsin - Even with Scott Walker's success, Barack Obama won some bragging rights in the Wisconsin governor's recall election: Voters said they favored Obama over Mitt Romney in November's presidential race by an 11-point margin, with advantages for Obama both on handling the economy and aiding the middle class.
Wisconsin voters by 53-42 percent said they'd support Obama over Romney if the election were today, the ABC News exit poll found, by 44-36 percent picked Obama to do a better job than Romney handling the economy and by 47-35 percent preferred the president on "helping the middle class."
From the Cornfield, there you have the latest of The Cornfield Eye on the Polls.