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The Cornfield Eye on the Polls - June 8th
Between now and the general election on November 6, there are going to be daily, weekly and monthly polls covering almost every contest imaginable. Some are local, some are state and some - actually most - will be on the presidential race.
Until Election Day, I am going to try and give a synopsis of what the pollsters reveal for both voters, candidates and campaigns to chomp and chew.
Americans on Syria:
Most Americans say that the U.S. does not have a responsibility to do something about the fighting in Syria, although the number calling for U.S. action in that country has grown from 25% in February to 33% now, according to a new national poll.
The belief that Syria is not the responsibility of the U.S. crosses party lines in the survey - 57% of Democrats and 58% of Republicans say the U.S. should take no role. Gender sometimes plays a role in public opinion of foreign issues, but in this instance, men and women agree, with 61% in each group saying that the U.S. has no responsibility to take any action in Syria.
Former Presidents:
According to a CNN/ORC poll, 43% of people questioned had a favorable opinion of George W. Bush, with 54% saying they had an unfavorable view of the former president.
Bill Clinton has a 66% favorable rating in the poll. Only 31% say they hold an unfavorable rating of Clinton.
George H.W. Bush, gets a 59% rating, with 34% saying they have an unfavorable view of the first President Bush.
Jimmy Carter is viewed favorably by 54% of the public.
The Supremes:
Just 44 percent of Americans approve of the job the Supreme Court is doing and three-quarters say the justices' decisions are sometimes influenced by their personal or political views, according to a poll conducted by The New York Times and CBS News.
More than two-thirds of Americans hope that the court overturns some or all of the 2010 health care overhaul law when it rules, probably this month.
Americans on Issues:
According to the CNN/ORC International survey, 51% of Americans say they oppose the health care law, while 43% say they favor it.
As for immigration, the new survey indicates three-quarters of Americans support the contentious Arizona law that allows police to arrest or detain suspected illegal immigrants during the enforcement of other laws.
Asked if they support the measure, 75% of respondents say they are in favor of it, while 24% say they are against it, the poll shows.
Presidential Approval:
President Barack Obama averaged an approval rating of 47% in May unchanged from April. As of June 3, 46% approve and 46% disapprove of the Presidents job performance.
http://gallup.com/poll/124922/Presidential-Approval-Center.aspx
The Presidential Race Nationally:
A new Fox News poll shows President Obama and Mitt Romney deadlocked nationally at 43% each.
A new Monmouth poll shows Obama leading 47% to 46%.
Meanwhile, the Gallup tracking poll shows a remarkably close and stable race with the latest data point putting Romney slightly ahead, 47% to 45%.
The latest Purple Strategies poll shows President Obama leading Mitt Romney nationally by just two points, 48% to 46%.
http://politicalwire.com/archives/2012/06/07/obama_loses_ground_nationally_and_in_swing_states.html
The first look at the 2012 FiveThirtyEight presidential forecast has Barack Obama as a very slight favorite to win re-election. But his advantage equates to only a two-point lead in the national popular vote, and the edge could easily swing to Mitt Romney on the basis of further bad economic news.
State by State:
Virginia - President Barack Obama leads Republican presidential nominee Mitt Romney 47 percent to 42 percent in Virginia, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released this morning that indicates that Obama's lead would remain if Gov. Bob McDonnell were the GOP running mate.
Colorado - Obama 48%, Romney 46%
Virginia- Obama 49%, Romney 46%
Ohio- Romney 48%, Obama 45%
Florida- Romney 49%, Obama 45%
http://politicalwire.com/archives/2012/06/07/obama_loses_ground_nationally_and_in_swing_states.html
Wisconsin - A new We Ask America poll shows President Obama leading Mitt Romney by five points, 48% to 43%.
http://politicalwire.com/archives/2012/06/07/obama_leads_romney_in_wisconsin.html
Colorado - A new Rasmussen survey shows President Obama and Mitt Romney tied in Colorado at 45% each.
http://politicalwire.com/archives/2012/06/07/dead_heat_in_colorado.html
Michigan - A new EPIC-MRA poll shows Mitt Romney slightly leading President Obama, 46% to 45%.
http://politicalwire.com/archives/2012/06/07/romney_grabs_lead_in_michigan.html
From the Cornfield, there you have the latest of The Cornfield Eye on the Polls.
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