- Posted October 25, 2012 by
This iReport is part of an assignment:
Election 2012: Your stories
The Cornfield Eye on the Polls - Post-Final Debate - October 25th
The final Presidential Debate of 2012 was Monday night. Three days have now passed and the impact or lack of impact is now starting to show in the polls. What is certain is that debate 3 did not make much of a difference. We are still facing a situation where on Wednesday morning, November 7th, we may wake up and still not know who won the presidential race.
There is already reports coming out of Palm Beach County (shades of Election 2000), Florida that there are problems perhaps with thousands absentee ballots. The ballots are not readable by the election machines. Poll workers, one from each major party, are opening those ballots which were not supposed to be open until election day and copying them on to new ballots by hand. Can we say the lawyers will be having a circus?
But where does the race stand besides neck and neck? Let's go to our Eye on the Polls.
ABC/WaPo - Obama 47% Romney 50%
AP/GfK - Obama 45% Romney 47%
Gallup - Obama 47% Romney 50%
IBD/TIPP - Obama 46.7% Romney 44.7%
PPP - Obama 49% Romney 48%
RAND - Obama 49.5% Romney 45.48%
Rasmussen - Obama 47% Romney 50%
Reuters/Ipsos - Obama 46% Romney 47%
The Cornfield Aggregate of the Polls: Obama 47.15% Romney 47.77%
Last week's Aggregate: Obama 46.79% Romney 46.31%
From the Cornfield Aggregate of the Polls, we can see that Romney has moved out to the slightest of leads. Will that lead hold? Election Day is less than 2 weeks away.
I am going to forego the issues and voting blocs and go straight to the state-by-state standings. See if the polls reflect what you are seeing in your state.
Arizona - Obama 44% Romney 52% (Rasmussen)
California - Obama 53% Romney 41% (Public Policy Institute of California)
Colorado - Obama 48% Romney 45% (Keating Research)
Colorado - Obama 48% Romney 48% (NBC/Marist)
Colorado - Obama 51% Romney 47% (PPP)
Colorado - Obama 46% Romney 43% (Project New America)
Connecticut - Obama 49% Romney 42% (Mason-Dixon)
Florida - Obama 48.8% Romney 49.7% (Gravis Marketing)
Florida - Obama 47% Romney 45% (Grove Insight)
Iowa - Obama 49% Romney 47% (PPP)
Michigan - Obama 46.92% Romney 46.56% (Foster McCollum)
Nebraska - Obama 41.12% Romney 50.83% (Pharos Research Group)
Nevada - Obama 50% Romney 47% (NBC/Marist)
New York - Obama 61% Romney 35% (Marist)
North Carolina - Obama 48% Romney 48% (PPP)
Pennsylvania - Obama 51% Romney 46% (Rasmussen)
Virginia - Obama 45% Romney 47% (Fox News)
Virginia - Obama 51% Romney 46% (PPP)
Virginia - Obama 48% Romney 50% (Rasmussen)
Wisconsin - Obama 51% Romney 45% (PPP)
From the Cornfield, that is the latest Cornfield Eye on the Polls.
Remember if you don't vote, you don't have a right to complain.