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Election 2012: Your stories
Prez Elect USA app promises to predict Election winner!
Forget the political pundits and polls, the leaderboard on this App will apparently predict the outcome of the next US Presidential Election. Users of the App vie to become a top player and help their party become victorious. The player’s choice of "Elefant" or "Donky" sends a clear message as to which political party they support. The top players’ scores helps to determine which party wins more "Prez" Elections and holds power longer. Thus, not only are players achieving a personal best, but they are also achieving a collaborative best for their political party. The Top Standings graph reflects the most winning party in real-time.
It is much like using the amount of funds raised as an indicator for Election victory. Although, Michael Moore argues that the influence of money in politics would lift Mitt Romney to victory over President Barack Obama in November, it’s not that simple. The more funds one raises does not automatically allow that candidate to buy an election. Steve Levitt attempts to dispel the myth that money buys elections. Levitt’s study found that “money doesn’t necessarily cause a candidate to win — but, rather, that the kind of candidate who’s attractive to voters also ends up attracting a lot of money. So winning an election and raising money do go together, just as rain and umbrellas go together. But umbrellas don’t cause the rain. And it doesn’t seem as if money really causes electoral victories either…” In the same way, the popular candidate will attract more players to their side with this App.
And then there’s the ace in the hole. This is seemingly an App for kids (although many adults enjoy it too!) And what do kids know? Apparently a whole lot. Scholastic has polled American school children since 1940. And the school urchin have got it right all but twice. The two misses being 1948 Dewey over Truman and 1960 Nixon over Kennedy. That’s pretty impressive.
Put these two factors together and the app creators over at Quatrian may be on to something. We have about a week to see if they are correct.
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